During President Trump's first term in office, we felt the sequencing of tax cuts (late 2017) and then tariffs (March 2018-August 2019) were key reasons for a strengthening dollar. In other words, the US economy had some fiscal support before tariff wars were waged.
European natural gas prices strengthened yesterday, with TTF settling just over 2% higher on the day, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Strong momentum indicates there is scope for Euro (EUR) to rally further vs US Dollar (USD); the significant resistance at 1.0530 could be just out of reach.
Oil prices are under pressure with ICE Brent settling more than 1.6% lower yesterday. This follows news that OPEC+ is sticking with plans to gradually increase supply from April by 138k b/d in the month, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Euro (EUR) continued to drift higher vs US Dollar (USD) as European leaders were seen coming together to offer Ukraine support, fuelling expectations for a higher defence spending. Pair was last at 1.0495 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
EUR/USD had a decent rally yesterday as investors focused on the explosive rally in European defence stocks. That Europe needs to spend a lot more on defence now is not in doubt. The question is what does it mean for FX?
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, March 4: Following Monday's volatile action, investors cling to a cautious stance early Tuesday, while assessing the latest developments surrounding the US tariff policy and retaliatory measures against it.
China’s Commerce Ministry announced on Tuesday that it will slap additional tariffs of upto 15% on imports of key farm products, including chicken, pork, soy and beef from the United States (US).
The USD/CAD pair holds steady around the 1.4500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday and remains close to a one-month top touched the previous day.
A spokesperson of China’s National People's Congress (NPC) commented on the additional 10% tariffs imposed by the United States (US) on Chinese imports on Tuesday.
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's positive move closer to the $2,900 mark and attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling its recovery from a three-week trough touched last Friday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some follow-through buying for the second straight day on Tuesday and moves back closer to a multi-month peak touched against its American counterpart last week.
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