Further Pound Sterling (GBP) weakness is not ruled out against US Dollar (USD); oversold conditions suggest any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level.
This week’s moves are almost entirely driven by US-related events. The only Euro input comes from scheduled ECB speeches, which so far have reinforced the less dovish tone set by President Christine Lagarde last week, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) revised its US crude Oil production estimates downward for 2026. In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, released yesterday, the EIA said output would decline by 50k b/d year on year in 2026 to 13.37m b/d.
There has been no increase in either downward or upward momentum; Euro (EUR) is likely to trade in a range of 1.1385/1.1460. In the longer run, EUR appears to have entered a range trading phase between 1.1330 and 1.1495, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Martins Kazaks said on Wednesday, “quite likely keeping 2% inflation will require some further cuts for fine tuning.”
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades in a tight range around $36.50 during European trading hours on Wednesday. The white metal consolidates as investors await the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
EUR/USD has retraced previous losses during the early European session and is trading at 1.1435 at the moment of writing, nearing the top of the recent range, at 1.1455. The US Dollar has given away all the ground taken on the back of news about a Sino-US agreement to reduce trade tariffs.The deal,
GBP/JPY remains subdued for the third consecutive day, trading around 195.60 during the early European hours on Wednesday. However, the currency cross maintains its position near a five-month high of 196.45, which was recorded on Tuesday, with hopes of further gains.
Oil prices are showing a moderate reversal on Wednesday, as the vague news about the US-China trade deal has been taken with more scepticism than enthusiasm.
Citing people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that the European Union (EU) believes trade negotiations with the United States (US) to extend beyond President Donald Trump’s July 9 deadline.
USD/CAD retraces its recent losses, trading around 1.3680 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. However, the upside of the USD/CAD pair could be limited as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) possibly receives support from the improved crude Oil prices.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price advances on Wednesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $64.11 per barrel, up from Tuesday’s close at $63.86.
The USD/MXN pair remains on the defensive near 19.05 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Mexican Peso (MXN) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD), its strongest level in more than nine months, bolstered by a potential trade deal between the United States and Mexico.
The EUR/GBP cross touched a one-month high, around the 0.8465-0.8470 region during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through buying. The fundamental backdrop, however, suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.
The AUD/JPY pair holds onto four-day rally to near 94.50 during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The cross exhibits strength as investors start doubting over whether the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again this year.
The EUR/JPY cross posts modest gains near 165.50 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) softens against the Euro (EUR) amid the improved risk sentiment as positive developments from US-China trade talks undermine the JPY's safe-haven status.
EUR/USD loses ground after registering gains in the previous two consecutive sessions, trading around 1.1400 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar receives support from easing tariff tensions between the United States (US) and China.
The USD/CHF pair extends its consolidative price move through the Asian session on Wednesday and remains confined in a range held over the past two weeks or so amid mixed cues.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not raise another interest rate again this year due to uncertainty over US tariff policy, according to a slight majority of economists in a Reuters poll who expect the next 25 basis points (bps) increase in early 2026.
Gold price (XAU/USD) climbs to the top end of the weekly range during the first half of the European session on Wednesday amid a combination of supporting factors.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its gains for the second successive day and trading higher at around 99.10 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
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