Silver price retreats on Thursday after back-to-back bearish days, as investors seeking safety buy the US Dollar (USD), pushing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a six-day high of 99.15. Rising tensions in the Middle East grow as the US could be dragged into the conflict.
EUR/USD is virtually unchanged on Thursday amid deteriorating risk appetite and growing speculation that the United States (US) could become involved in the Middle East conflict.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under pressure on Thursday, with NZD/USD sliding toward 0.5980 as the US Dollar extends gains. The pair broke below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6012 and the lower edge of a rising wedge pattern, a move that suggests bullish momentum has faded.
Gold price registers modest gains on Thursday as geopolitical tensions rose due to increasing rumors that the United States (US) might become involved in the Israel–Iran conflict. Nevertheless, a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) caps the golden metal's advance.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades within familiar levels after hitting a four-week low of 1.3383, recovers and posts gains of over 0.03% against the US Dollar (USD) following the Bank of England's (BoE) decision to keep rates unchanged.
The Silver (XAG/USD) edges lower for the second consecutive day on Thursday, retreating from a fresh multi-year high of $37.32 touched on Wednesday, as traders lock in profits following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious policy pause.
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its losing streak for a third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, sliding to a three-month low as the escalating Middle East conflict fuels fresh supply worries and keeps Crude Oil prices elevated.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft and trading defensively into Thursday’s NA session with markets unphased by the BoE’s as-expected hold at 4.25% but offering some reaction to a 7-3 hold-cut split, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating within a tight range just below 1.15, holding flat vs. the US Dollar (USD) and treading water in light US-holiday trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is modestly weaker on the session but losses may be moderating above 1.37 for now, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1830 and 7.2030 against Chinese Yuan (CNH). In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade between 144.40 and 145.50 against Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, there has been a tentative buildup in momentum; for a sustained advance, USD must first break and hold above 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The US Dollar is faring better than the Japanese Yen in the current risk-averse scenario, with geopolitical concerns driving markets, which keeps the USD/JPY trending higher, with bulls testing resistance at the 145.35 level.Investors' fears of an escalation of the Middle East conflict have been boo
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to trade in a sideways range of 0.6000/0.6045 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, NZD is expected to trade in a range between 0.5980 and 0.6080, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CHF is attempting a modest rebound from 0.8030, but remains below key resistance at 0.8350, keeping the broader downtrend intact, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
The two major US macro events yesterday (the FOMC and TIC data) left very few marks on FX. Markets are understandably attaching limited value to dot plot projections given the high uncertainty of the tariff impact and recent oil volatility.
AUD/JPY retraces its recent gains registered in the previous day, trading around 94.10 during the European hours on Thursday. As per the technical analysis of the daily chart, the currency cross moves upwards within an ascending channel pattern, indicating a bullish bias.
Non-directional price movements for now; AUD is likely to trade between 0.6475 and 0.6540. In the longer run, AUD appears to have moved into a range-trading phase between 0.6430 and 0.6550, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
In the FX space, geopolitical concerns appear to have overshadowed the FOMC outcome. Last at 99 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
EUR/USD can probably correct a bit further from here on geopolitical risks, and the near-term target is 1.140, and explorations below that level can be justified even without new big spikes in oil prices.
Euro (EUR) extended its move lower over the past few sessions as geopolitical escalation unnerved sentiments. Pair was last at 1.1450 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
There has been a slight increase in downward momentum; Euro (EUR) could edge lower and potentially test the 1.1440 level. EUR is likely to trade in a range for now, probably between 1.1400 and 1.1570, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
NZD/USD falls nearly 1% on Thursday, trading around 0.5970 during the early European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the emergence of a bearish bias, as the pair has broken below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.
The EUR/JPY cross attracts some sellers to near 166.35 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) gathers strength against the Euro (EUR) as Middle East tensions dampen sentiment.
Silver (XAG/USD) oscillates in a narrow range around the $36.75 area during the Asian session on Thursday and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's modest pullback from its highest level since February 2012.
The USD/CHF advances for the fourth straight day after the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to hold rates unchanged, though they are still eyeing two rate cuts in 2025. This, along with US President Trump's remarks that he’s open to Iran talks, boosted the Dollar.
The EUR/USD trades almost flat after climbing past the 1.1500 figure, following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to hold rates unchanged, amid increasing tensions in the Middle East. This, along with comments from US President Donald Trump, boosted the Dollar, capping the Euro’s (EUR) advance.
GBP/USD trades within a 40-pip range, exhibiting mild volatility on Wednesday, after the Federal Reserve (Fed) stood pat on rates and hinted that it is still expecting two rate cuts this year. At the time of writing, the pair trades near 1.3450, posting modest gains of 0.20%, as traders await the F
Gold price holds firm near $3,390 as the Federal Reserve decided to hold rates unchanged at the June 18 meeting. The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) reveals that officials are still eyeing 50 basis points of easing in 2025.
Gold prices show minimal gains as the Asian session begins, following the Fed’s decision to maintain rates, while indicating they are still considering two rate cuts.
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading lower on Wednesday, pulling back from multi-year highs after a sharp rally in June that saw monthly gains of more than 10%.
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